Our annual exercise going week by week through each team’s schedule to project all 32 final records.
The best and worst part about predicting every NFL team’s record by selecting winners and losers in every single game is that it’s fair. While many of you won’t care about this, there is a pang in my stomach when I get to the end of the grid every year and there is no way to squeeze out another victory or two for a team that is low on the totem pole, thus removing the target from my back and avoiding some shrapnel.
• That said, last year solidified that my process needed to change, so here’s what is new and here’s why it matters. In previous seasons, I picked through teams’ schedules from top to bottom in an Excel spreadsheet. I’d do the AFC East first, running through divisions one at a time by teams in alphabetical order by city. So I would start with the Buffalo Bills in Week 1, pick their entire schedule, then end with the Seattle Seahawks in Week 18.
• One last note: I had some serious bias housekeeping that needed to be addressed. I was not biased as a fan, but in the sense that there were some coaches and GMs I believed to be infallible—Bill Belichick among them. I tried to challenge those beliefs more in 2024.
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