Analysis | The twin flaws of No Labels’s 2024 strategy

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Analysis | The twin flaws of No Labels’s 2024 strategy
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Analysis: The nonpartisan group conflates party frustration with opposition to partisanship. A third-party candidate would be highly unlikely to win, the criticism goes, and instead simply decrease support for one of the major-party candidates.

Page insisted that no one could know what would happen, given the uncertainty about the Republican contest and the lack of an identified No Labels candidate.“Everything changes if the common-sense majority decides that they do want a third choice for president in 2024, and then real candidates are named,” she said. “Then it becomes an entirely different conversation.”

That’s another of the misconceptions from which Forward was suffering: that the existence of a lot of independent voters meant those voters would rally behind their party., about 4 in 10 adults say they don’t belong to either political party., those “independents” are mostly just people who don’t belong to a party but still vote with one. Of the 41 percent of people who are “independent,” more than three-quarters consistently vote with one of the two parties anyway.

It is certainly true that both Biden and Trump are viewed negatively by most Americans. In polling conducted by YouGov for the Economist this month, about 4 in 10 respondents said they viewed Trump “very unfavorably.” A similar percentage said the same of Biden. Add in those who just say they view the candidates “unfavorably” and the total is a majority of Americans.majority.

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