The Bucks have had their way with the 76ers as of late (5-1 ATS in last 6) but with many key injuries it's the defense you should count on tonight. Read our full odds, picks and predictions article for a full break down below 👇
. It’s why despite having Antetokounmpo, the Bucks are a Bottom-10 offense this season.
While the 76ers roster is dealing with much less disruption, it can’t be overstated how dramatic the impact of James Harden’s ongoing absence has been for Philly on both ends. Harden was easily its best offensive player until his injury, and it's seen a slow offensive start drop to Bottom-5 offense levels in his absence.
But their reversal of fortune on the other side of the ball has been just as dramatic. The 76ers are the 16th-ranked offense and the fifth-ranked defense on the year, but since Harden’s injury on November 2nd, they’re playing at the level of the No. 1 defense and the 27th-ranked offense. Embiid’s 59-point masterpiece against the Utah Jazz somewhat covered for the fact that the rest of the Sixers simply cannot score right now, and that’s not an exaggeration. Of the 27 points Philadelphia scored in the final frame against Utah on Sunday, Embiid scored 26 of them. It also signaled Embiid’s return to All-Defense form, as his seven blocks somehow undersell the amount of possessions he disrupted around the basket to seal the win.
The trends on both sides of this one all point to the Under as well. The Under is 4-1 in 76ers' last five overall while the Under is 5-1 in the Bucks' last six road games. The fact the total for this one has been precipitously dropping from its opening at 218 is not surprising once you dig into the numbers, but even at 212, I still like the Under as the best bet on the board.
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