A predicted flight path of the balloon according to weather modeling for the five days before it was spotted over Montana suggests it came from mainland China.
A graph circulating on social media that purports to show the reverse trajectory of a suspected Chinese spy balloon has raised questions as to why it wasn't shot down, since weather data shows it would have originated from mainland China.has decided not to shoot it down over safety concerns for people on the ground.
A senior defense official told reporters that the Pentagon had"very high confidence" that it was a Chinese high-altitude balloon collecting information about sensitive sites within America, according to the Associated Press. Montana is home to one of America's three domestic nuclear missile silo fields., and that it had no intention of violating U.S. airspace.
The Pentagon building pictured with an inset of NOAA map of the balloon's likely path towards the U.S. On Thursday evening, Dan Satterfield tweeted that he had reproduced the predicted trajectory of the balloon using National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration modeling to reverse-engineer the likely path the balloon would have taken in the preceding five days before it was spotted in Billings, Montana, given the weather patterns across the Northern Hemisphere.
Using the NOAA's HYSPLIT model, a system for computing air parcel trajectories, it showed that the likely path of the balloon fell over western Canada, across Alaska, South Korea and originating in the Chinese mainland.was able to independently verify the trajectory, but received a different result for its position in China 120 hours before itSatterfield then used the model to predict that the balloon would travel over the Midwest, and by 7 a.m.
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