Tom Brady and Matt Ryan picked good landing spots; Cardinals need Aaron Donald to retire, Kyler Murray to evolve
It’s time — yes, even in June — to forecast a few NFL victory totals, relative to betting lines.
Go with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Indianapolis Colts to edge their “over-under” marks for the 2022 season.aligns with Tom Brady ending his 40-day retirement, as Brady had to see a broad road to the playoffs to come back. Quarterbacks who’ve played decades can judge NFL talent. Brady, much like Peyton Manning choosing a gifted Denver Broncos team as a free agent in 2012 and then advancing to a pair of Super Bowls, signed with a loaded Bucs team two years ago and won a Super Bowl within a year.
A bonus is the dismal state of NFC South. Betting lines for the Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers, who list Marcus Mariota and Sam Darnold at quarterback, show win totals of 4.5 and 5.5. Coach Sean Payton’s decision to leave the New Orleans Saints, whose defense dominated the Brady Bucs, was a welcome-back gift. And not the last one. Rob Gronkowski returning to the Bucs this summer seems probable.
As for the best “under” bet, it’s the Cardinals falling short of nine victories. Both of Arizona’s lines are questionable. Receiver DeAndre Hopkins’ six-game suspension and quarterback Kyler Murray’s uneven development argue against a winning season in the desert. However, keep an eye on the Aaron Donald situation. If the All-Pro defensive tackler were to retire this summer, as he hinted he might, Murray would have the most reason to celebrate.
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