Commentary: China’s removal of Japan seafood ban comes at a time of high bilateral tensions

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Commentary: China’s removal of Japan seafood ban comes at a time of high bilateral tensions
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Reversing the ban on Japanese seafood imports may have been an effort to cash in accumulated leverage at a time when China may be on the back foot, say these academics.

The news came in a press release stating Japan and China had reached a “shared understanding” about expanding the international regime that monitors the release of treated water from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant into the Pacific Ocean.

Given the ban’s timing - just days after Tokyo had angered Beijing by doubling down on its cooperation with Washington and Seoul at the 2023 Camp David Summit - it was instead interpreted as the latest example of Chinese economic coercion. As David Baldwin once succinctly put it: “Tomorrow’s threat may lay the groundwork for a promise on the day after tomorrow”.

For Tokyo, however, after facing 13 months of lobbying and industry pressure, the prospect of the ban's removal could be a tempting inducement. Second, Japan's governing Liberal Democratic Party is just days out from electing a new leader who will replace Fumio Kishida as prime minister. Several of the nine candidates are considered staunch critics of China, such as current Economic Security Minister Sanae Takaichi.

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