Averting a nuclear arms race with successful talks among the US, Russia and China is something that US President Donald Trump might just pull off, says Andreas Kluth for Bloomberg Opinion.
US President Donald Trump sits in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC on Mar 7, 2025. BERLIN: It’s no secret that Donald Trump is obsessed with winning the Nobel Peace Prize, which is one reason why he’s
Trump had already withdrawn from one arms-control treaty with Russia and then refused to renew the only remaining one, leaving the extension to his successor, Joe Biden. But even that agreement, called New START, expires next February. Russia in particular is building more “tactical” or “theatre” weapons; it has an edge of about 10-1 over the US in that category, which is not covered by New START. The US is also considering giving these limited nukes a greater role again.
Once you factor in the risk of miscalculation by someone somewhere under pressure, or the imponderable role of artificial intelligence in nuclear decision-making, it becomes clear that the world is entering the greatest danger since the Cuban Missile Crisis.Commentary: Why Trump really wants Ukraine’s minerals – China has put theirs off limits
Russia knows that it’s economically and militarily weaker than the US and would lose a conventional war. So it values tactical nukes as a psychological deterrent and a last-ditch means to “escalate to de-escalate” in its own favour.”, but it still wants parity with the US to avoid being coerced, especially if it ever comes to blows over Taiwan.
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