Commentary: In wake of US election, conditions are ripe for a more active ASEAN bloc

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Commentary: In wake of US election, conditions are ripe for a more active ASEAN bloc
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By drawing on its economic power, ASEAN can resist pressure to take sides in a world divided by power struggles, says political analyst James Chai.

Leaders of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations wrapped up their regional summit in Vientiane, the capital of Laos, on Oct 11, 2024. This is not only because both Harris and Trump's foreign and trade policy approach are directionally similar, save for the intensity , with Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand as its founding members, was formed in the middle of one of modern history’s most ideologically contested periods, the Cold War .

Among others, ASEAN’s trade policy is the best signal of its pragmatic economic-first approach. Southeast Asia is the most heavily traded major region in the world, where trade accounts for 89 per cent of its gross domestic product, compared to the world average of 43 per cent. In 2000, ASEAN’s combined GDP was US$620 billion, which was one-eighth of Japan’s. Two decades later, ASEAN’s GDP is US$3 trillion compared to Japan’s US$5 trillion, and the region is projected to exceed Japan by 2030 to become the fourth-largest economy in the world.

The central idea here is to use economic strength, cemented in pragmatism and accommodation, as ASEAN’s bargaining reservoir to demand for continued neutrality and resistance against picking sides.

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