One failed martial law plot in South Korea later, East Asia is down a more turbulent path in the era of Trump 2.0, says professor of political science Robert Kelly.
A trilateral meeting with the US, South Korea and Japan at the APEC summit in Lima, Peru, Nov 15, 2024. BUSAN: The Japan - South Korea - United States relationship has been strong for the past few years, thanks to a happy domestic alignment that currently exists., a moderate conservative willing to admit imperial misbehaviour must be prime minister. In South Korea , where the left is relentlessly anti- Japan ese, a conservative, anti-communist, pro-American president is necessary.
That makes the left-progressive Lee Jae-myung the likely next president of South Korea. Lee has spoken sharply of Japan, as did his progressive predecessor Moon Jae-in. Where predecessor Joe Biden put real effort into this traditionally challenging issue, Trump will make no effort to mediate Japanese-South Korean disputes. He had not in his first term. Instead, he took sides in the dispute.
In contrast, South Korea’s contemporaneous president, Moon Jae-in often clashed with Trump, trading barbs in the media. When Trump sought a deal with North Korea in 2018-19, he cut Moon out of the negotiations. Trump will likely bring this style back into office.In short, expect trilateral relations to be poor in the coming years, just like during Trump’s first term.
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