Commentary: What Assad regime collapse in Syria means for Russia and Iran

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Commentary: What Assad regime collapse in Syria means for Russia and Iran
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That a popular armed insurrection toppled former president Bashar al-Assad in Syria has set off alarm bells in Moscow and Tehran, says RSIS’ James M Dorsey.

People carry a huge Syria n opposition flag as they gather at Oranienplatz square, after Syria n rebels announced that they have ousted Syria 's Bashar al-Assad, in Berlin, Germany December 8, 2024. REUTERS/Annegret HilseSINGAPORE: No doubt policymakers in Tehran and Moscow are asking who lost Syria .

"What Tartus meant for Russia was the ability to project maritime power and political influence relatively uncontested in the Middle East and allowed it to punch above its weight," wrote retired Belgian naval officer Fredrik Van Lokeren. Russia can claim that it stuck by its friends while ensuring that the former president would be limited in his ability to attempt a comeback.Commentary: The fall of Bashar al-Assad is unlikely to lead to peace in Syria

Iran and its allies will no longer be able to maintain a military presence in Syria or use the country as a support hub for Hezbollah. It will be forced to revisit its strategy and broader regional policies. Critics removed without explanation social media postings in which they asserted that Iran had wasted resources on supporting an unpopular leader in Syria, an implicit criticism of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, a friend and staunch supporter of Assad.

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