COVID-19 is unlikely to be eradicated in the near future and achieving herd immunity is not a practical solution to the problem, said China's top epidemiologists.
China’s top epidemiologists have warned that the country may not yet be out of the woods with regards to the coronavirus pandemic and that the responses of the United States and Europe to the global health crisis will be pivotal to how it unfolds.
In a separate interview the same day with China News Service, Zeng Guang, chief epidemiologist at the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, and another member of the expert panel, said the fact that new infections continued to be reported overseas meant China remained under threat. “And there is the question of how long it will take for developing a vaccine … and how are you going to organise production for everybody in the world to receive a jab?” he said.
Based on the current spread of the coronavirus, some epidemiologists have estimated the critical threshold for achieving herd immunity at about 60 per cent.“How many lives do we have to sacrifice for that 60 per cent?” “It means there have been infections [since 2003] but it did not spread on a large scale. It should be sufficient if we can control [Covid-19] at a similar level,” Zhong said.
Story continuesZhong said that unless China isolated itself from the rest of the world, it was unrealistic to think there would be no imported cases, especially in big cities.
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