What are the chances we'll see a White Christmas this year?
So now to a looming question: Could we have a White Christmas this year?In the United States, the National Weather Service defines a "White Christmas" as an inch or more of snow observed on the ground on Christmas morning. So a dusting of snow remaining from earlier snowfall doesn't count. Yet an inch or more still on the ground on Dec. 25 from a prior storm meets the White Christmas standard.
Other countries and traditions may have different definitions. For example, some cultures consider snowfall on Christmas Eve to qualify as a White Christmas.Could NYC Have a White Christmas This Year?On average, New York City receives 4.8 inches of snow in December. The first measurable snowfall typically takes place around Dec. 14.has only an 11% chance each year of having that happen. Brooklyn's chances are around 10%. Queens is at a 12% probability.
Parts of New Jersey and upstate New York have greater chances of seeing a White Christmas so just because it may not happen in Manhattan — literally based on a measurement in Central Park — doesn't mean it couldn't happen elsewhere in the metropolitan area. Here is a U.S. map from NOAA showing the historic probability of a White Christmas based on data from 1991 to 2020. (To view a higher resolution version,
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