If these leads hold, if DeSantis can beat Trump in each of the GOP’s first three primary contests, it is all but impossible to see how Trump could recover, conncarroll writes.
This week, the University of New Hampshire released a poll of New Hampshire Republican voters showing DeSantis with a 42%-30% lead over Donald Trump. Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley got 8%, while New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu and Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan each got 4%.Among likely Republican primary voters, just 46% think Trump should run in 2024, compared to 65% who think DeSantis should run.
Moving to Iowa, which will hold its caucus a week before New Hampshire’s primary, DeSantis is also beating Trump, but by a much smaller 32%-30% margin. As recently as last June, however, Trump had a big 38%-17% lead over DeSantis, but that lead has crumbled.If these leads hold, if DeSantis can beat Trump in each of the GOP’s first three primary contests, it is all but impossible to see how Trump could recover.
If these polls don’t change, or if DeSantis’s lead grows, it is even possible that Trump may choose to end his reelection campaign entirely to avoid the embarrassment of a string of crushing losses.
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