Black Lives Matter protests may have helped sway an estimated 7.6% of voters who favored Donald Trump in 2016 to vote for Joe Biden in 2020, according to a new study in ScienceAdvances.
remain significantly higher than they were immediately before the BLM movement garnered public attention.
Respondents were selected on the basis of address-based sampling. Interviews took place either online or by telephone, according to respondents’ preferred interview mode . For brevity, I refer to the survey waves as waves 1 to 6, with the most notable benchmarks occurring in wave 1 , just before the 2016 election, and in wave 6 , the same amount of time preceding the 2020 presidential election.
Respondents were also asked for their opinions on how much effort the government in Washington should make to improve the social and economic position of blacks and other minority groups. This variable,support for immigrationIn another test of this hypothesis, I incorporated not only their own opinion on these issues but also where they perceived the Republican and Democratic positions to be on these same issue scales.
In analyses with a continuous dependent variable, I use linear fixed effects regression. With a dichotomous outcome such as vote choice, fixed effects logit would be a logical choice because the assumptions of a linear fixed effects regression may be violated with a dichotomous dependent variable. Nonetheless, some scholars prefer results from a linear model if the modeled probabilities are not extreme, as is usually the case with voting .
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