U.S. strategists hope that Russia’s failures in Ukraine will give China second thoughts about attacking Taiwan. But Xi Jinping could be drawing different lessons, writes YaroTrof
China’s military and civilian leaders have watched with dismay over the past 15 months as Moscow’s anticipated blitzkrieg in Ukraine turned into a drawn-out slog marked by a series of Russian defeats.
China last fought a war in 1979—a campaign against Vietnam that ended in a humbling draw—and used to admire Russia for its ability to translate violence into political gains. No more. “Russia’s military image and credibility have crumbled,” said Zhou Bo, a recently retired senior colonel in the People’s Liberation Army who serves as a senior fellow at Tsinghua University in Beijing. “This has become a war they did not expect.
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