LONDON : As qualifying for Euro 2024 resumes on Friday, an unintended consequence of the expansion to 24 teams is quickly becoming apparent, with six teams already given at least a 95 per cent chance of making it to Germany with only two rounds of matches played.With 20 teams qualifying automatically as t
LONDON : As qualifying for Euro 2024 resumes on Friday, an unintended consequence of the expansion to 24 teams is quickly becoming apparent, with six teams already given at least a 95 per cent chance of making it to Germany with only two rounds of matches played.
Croatia, Poland, Czech Republic, Spain, and the Netherlands are also expected to progress, all having over an 80 per cent chance of direct qualification despite losing or drawing one of their opening games, as are Hungary, who have played one game. Despite being the reigning champions, Italy failed to qualify in 1972 and also missed 76, 84, when they were world champions, and 92. It was the same situation for France who missed out in 88 following their 1984 triumph, which itself was a rare highlight coming after five successive failures to qualify from 64-80.
Now, the expected smooth progress of the continent's heavyweights, along with a few upwardly mobile cruiserweights, means that the excitement shifts down a level to countries who have traditionally never or rarely had a realistic hope of making the finals, which is what happened for debutants Finland and North Macedonia at Euro 2020.
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