The novel coronavirus is likely to keep spreading for at least another 18 months to two years — until 60% to 70% of the population has been infected, a team of longstanding pandemic experts predicted in a new report
The new coronavirus is likely to keep spreading for at least another 18 months to two years—until 60% to 70% of the population has been infected, a team of longstanding pandemic experts predicted in a report released Thursday.
They recommended that the US prepare for a worst-case scenario that includes a second big wave of coronavirus infections in the fall and winter. Even in a best-case scenario, people will continue to die from the virus, they predicted."This thing's not going to stop until it infects 60 to 70 percent of people," Mike Osterholm, who directs the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, told CNN.
"I think it's an experiment. It's an experiment that likely will cost lives, especially in places that do it without careful controls to try to figure out when to try to slow things down again," Lipsitch said.Plus, he said, some states are choosing to lift restrictions when they have more new infections than they had when they decided to impose the restrictions."It is hard to even understand the rationale," Lipsitch said.
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