Fed chief likely to focus on trade-inspired policy shift in testimony

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Fed chief likely to focus on trade-inspired policy shift in testimony
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The U.S. Federal Reserve over the course of its 105-year history has changed monetary policy in reaction to property crashes, war, financial ...

WASHINGTON: The U.S. Federal Reserve over the course of its 105-year history has changed monetary policy in reaction to property crashes, war, financial bubbles and policymakers' gut instincts about where the economy was heading.

With investors in contracts linked to the Fed's targeted overnight lending rate putting the probability of a rate reduction at close to 100 per cent,"it would be unprecedented for the Fed to not cut," Lavorgna wrote.Powell is scheduled to appear before the U.S. House of Representatives Financial Services Committee at 10am EDT as part of his semi-annual monetary policy testimony to Congress.

Earlier rounds of U.S. tariffs on trading partners including China had been dismissed as of little macroeconomic importance, with the Fed in early May still anticipating its policy rate would remain unchanged in a range of 2.25 per cent to 2.50 per cent for the rest of the year. As Trump tied the threatened tariffs, which would have hit one of the world's most integrated supply chains, to non-economic demands about immigration, investors over two days knocked about a quarter of a percentage point from the federal funds rate expected at the end of 2019.

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