We’re nowhere near herd immunity.
The study did succeed at capturing data from many places in the state, which requires some ingenuity. Natalie Dean, a biostatistician at the University of Florida, is one of the experts who participated in a phone call to help a New York state task force design the study. “We were trying to suggest cheap and easy strategies,” she says. The stores idea was raised on the call byat Harvard.
And there’s one important point that the data Cuomo shared bears out: The virus is disproportionately affecting people of color. Nine percent of white people tested had antibodies, while just over 22 percent of black and Latino people had them. “This reflects more the regional breakdown,” Cuomo said Thursday, pointing out that there are more white people upstate, where infection rates are lower.
Aside from feeling mad, and maybe hopeful, what we should individually do with this information is nothing. An infection rate of even 20 percent, the estimate from this survey for New York City, is “still a ways from herd immunity,” noted Dean. Roughly 70 percent of us would have to have been infected and have immunity before enough people have had the virus that it stops reliably spreading around the community.
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