Joe Manchin Trails GOP Challenger by 22 Points in Key Senate Race
Manchin, a centrist Democrat first elected in 2010, has long defied West Virginia's conservative lean to win elections in the state, which former Presidentcarried by nearly 40 points in 2020. Manchin has embraced more moderate positions on social issues such as abortion and has been willing to buck the party from time to time, boosting his popularity while enraging more liberal Democrats.
An East Carolina University poll of 957 registered voters found Justice leading by 22 percentage points in a head-to-head matchup. Fifty-four percent of voters said they planned to back Justice, while 32 percent said they were going to vote for Manchin. Manchin has long been viewed as the most vulnerable senator up for reelection from either party in 2024. He was last elected in 2018, a"blue wave" election in which Democrats had a turnout advantage of 3.6 percent across the U.S. But 2024 is a presidential year, so Democrats are not expected to have such an edge.
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