The Republican establishment, such that it is, took a beating in New Hampshire’s closely watched primaries — and this time, they can’t pin the defeats (plural) on intervention by former President Donald Trump.
This time, it was the Democratic Party that meddled and, by design, propelled a slate of Republicans to the nomination for Senate and in two congressional districts who top Republicans in Concord and Washington believe jeopardize their party’s prospects in otherwise very winnable midterm elections in New Hampshire. All told, Democratic groups spent millions of dollars on the effort, successfully countering a spending binge on behalf of the losers by organizations linked to GOP leaders.
In the 1st District, a swing seat, McCarthy endorsed Matt Mowers. A super PAC aligned with McCarthy followed up that backing with a $1.4 million investment targeting Leavitt, an advertising campaign that was then joined by other national Republican groups. No matter; Leavitt steamrolled Mowers 34.7% to 25.4%.Meanwhile, Trump was nowhere to be found, sitting out New Hampshire’s primaries for federal office completely.
But in this year’s campaign, history and the underlying fundamentals favor the Republican Party. President Joe Biden’s job approval ratings are near 40%, the party in power in the White House typically loses seats in midterm elections, and skyrocketing inflation continues to plague the economy. In New Hampshire, that is translating into acute voter anxiety about what it’s going to cost to fill home heating oil tanks this winter.
Democrats, who say Hassan now owns the middle ground that, so often, is crucially important in statewide races in New Hampshire, have a different view, although they are taking the race seriously and approaching it as though they expect it to be highly competitive. “We agree with the many, many New Hampshire Republicans who said Bolduc has no place representing their state in the Senate,” said Amanda Sherman-Baity, spokeswoman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
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