Mike Clay pits his projection system against the sportsbooks with a game-by-game look at Week 3 player props, offering his leans for taking the over or the under.
Since the start of last season, Jefferson has reached eight receptions in 11 out of 19 games . The Chargers, meanwhile, have allowed 32 receptions to opposing wideouts this season , as well as the most yards and touchdowns to the position.
They also play man coverage at the highest rate of any team this season, according to ESPN Analytics/NFL Next Gen Stats and that should mean plenty of targets for Jefferson, who has seen a 31% target rate against man coverage since the start of last season. This is a solid play at plus money.The Vikings have allowed seven rushing scores to opposing QBs since the start of last season, tied for the second-most in the NFL behind only the Bears .
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