Game One between the Lightning and Maple Leafs could be a good spot to bet the underdog on Monday…
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But the truth is that bettors can’t really treat the Lightning like other teams. Sure, the metrics remain the most important ingredient in handicapping this team, but the Bolts have earned the benefit of the doubt over the past few seasons. We know what this team can do in a playoff setting and it’s certainly possible that Tampa’s regular-season numbers — which were still solid — took a dip because the team was pacing itself for the playoffs.
You can expect Tampa Bay coach Jon Cooper to do everything he can to ensure that Matthews and Marner see a ton of Anthony Cirelli, Victor Hedman, Ryan McDonagh, and Erik Cernak over the course of this series. Outside of the goaltending, Cirelli could end up being the most important factor in this series, as the shutdown center has the ability to keep Matthews and Marner somewhat in check.
Andrei Vasilevskiy has been the best goaltender in the world for the past three years and even in a year where he didn’t get much attention still posted a .917 save percentage and a +17.6 GSAx.
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