NOAA updates hurricane forecast to 'above normal' heading into peak months

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NOAA updates hurricane forecast to 'above normal' heading into peak months
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The Atlantic hurricane season is heading into its peak months and federal officials say the U.S. could see “above normal” activity this year.

A man walks through a flooded neighborhood in the aftermath of Hurricane Ian in Fort Myers, Fla., on Sept. 29, 2022The Atlantic hurricane season is heading into its peak months and federal officials now say the United States could see “above normal” activity this year., predicting a 60% chance of 14 to 21 named storms with winds 39 mph or higher. Of those, six to 11 could become hurricanes, including two to five “major” hurricanes that reach Category 3 or higher with winds of at least 111 mph.

. An average season, which begins June 1 and lasts through Nov. 30, typically produces 14 named storms, of which seven become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes, according to the agency. Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, said the increased likelihood of above-normal hurricane activity is being driven by current ocean and atmospheric conditions — including record-warm sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean — and the"The June-July sea surface temperatures in the main development region of the North Atlantic were the warmest since 1950," Rosencrans said Thursday in a news briefing.

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