Public opinion specialists fret about the former president’s possibility of ruining their record once again.
. Trump ran far more competitively with now-President Joe Biden than the preelection surveys suggested.
“It’s looking a lot like Trump is going to be on the ballot” next November, said Democratic pollster Andrew Baumann. “So that is all back with a vengeance.” That organization has been grappling with the future of political polling for decades. Just looking at the polls over the past two federal election cycles will give you whiplash. By most measures, last year’s midterms represented the pinnacle of election polling.‘s post-election evaluation found that polls were more accurate than any year since 1998.
Among public pollsters, CNN made some of the most dramatic changes to its methodology. Mostly abandoning its longstanding process of random-digit phone sampling, the network and its polling vendor SSRS randomly selected street addresses for its national surveys and mailed out solicitations to complete a poll online or by dialing a number.
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