January 2025 saw record-breaking global temperatures, surpassing previous records despite the expected cooling influence of the La Nina weather pattern. Scientists attribute this unusual warming trend to the continued burning of fossil fuels, highlighting the profound impact of human activity on the planet's climate.
Last month was recorded as the warmest January globally, extending a trend of extreme temperatures despite the shift towards the cooling La Nina weather pattern. European Union (EU) scientists announced on Thursday (February 6th) that January continued a period of exceptional heat, with 18 out of the last 19 months witnessing an average global temperature exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
This occurred despite the world transitioning from the El Nino warming pattern, which contributed to 2024 becoming the hottest year on record, towards its cooler La Nina counterpart characterized by cooling of equatorial Pacific waters, typically leading to reduced global temperatures. 'The persistence of record temperatures outside the influence of El Nino is somewhat surprising,' stated Samantha Burgess, Strategic Lead at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which operates the C3S service. The global average temperature in January registered 1.75 degrees Celsius higher than during pre-industrial times. Copernicus assesses that La Nina has not fully developed, and the world currently resides in neutral conditions between the two phases. While other data models may differ, with US scientists indicating last month that La Nina conditions had taken hold, Burgess emphasized that even if La Nina fully emerges, its cooling effect might not be sufficient to temporarily curb global temperatures. Global temperatures are also influenced by factors such as extreme heat in other ocean basins and the primary driver of climate change: emissions of heat-trapping greenhouse gases. 'The burning of fossil fuels is by far the most significant contributor to our warming climate,' she stated. Scientists at Berkeley Earth and the UK Met Office anticipate 2025 to be the third-warmest year on record, cooler than 2024 and 2023 due to the shift towards La Nina, although uncertainties remain regarding the phenomenon's development. Globally, average sea surface temperatures in January reached the second-highest level on record for the month, surpassed only by January 2024
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