An elusive truce has arrived in Gaza, but there will always be ammunition to start another war unless more is done, says NUS Middle East Institute’s Carl Skadian.
Palestinians celebrate the announcement of a ceasefire deal between Hamas and Israel in Deir al-Balah, central Gaza Strip, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2025. SINGAPORE: After 467 days of war in Gaza , a moment that seemed elusive for much of that period has finally arrived: The announcement of a. Assuming it does, the question on everyone’s mind is whether the truce will hold.
Not that Hamas will be short of new recruits: The apocalyptic landscape in Gaza will be an effective recruitment poster.The Israeli side of the equation appears less clear. The end to the trauma of the hostages, their families and Israelis at large appears to be at hand. Closure, or rehabilitation, will follow.
Already, some far-right members of his government have opposed the deal and threatened to leave the ruling coalition. Foreign Minister Gideon Saar believes a majority of the Cabinet will go along, but he pointedly framed Israel’s choice as one “between a bad decision and a very bad decision”.Trump’s return a 'driving force' in Gaza ceasefire deal: Analysts
It allows Mr Biden to leave office on a high note. For Mr Trump, it is vindication of his strongman rhetoric - his threat that “all hell would break out” worked. More practically, it removes a major distraction as he takes office. It is true that both presidents had to overcome an innate and deep animosity to the other to bring a deal to fruition, but their efforts lay bare the fact that the United States remains the indispensable power in the region.
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