The second phase of the 2020 race starts tonight | Analysis by CillizzaCNN
That narrative will begin to change right around midnight Wednesday, when the qualifying window for the third presidential debate closes. At the moment, 10 candidates -- out of the 21 still running -- have met the qualifications to make the debate stage in Houston on September 12. Barring some sort of unexpected poll release, which, well, isn't going to happen, the race will split in two starting tomorrow between, broadly speaking, the have-a-chances and the don't-have-a-chances. Sen.
In each episode of his weekly YouTube show, Chris Cillizza will delve a little deeper into the surreal world of politics. Click to subscribe! Even if a decent chunk of the"don't-have-a-chances" stay in the race in the near term -- maybe hoping to qualify for the fourth debate in October -- the perception that the race has now fissured between people who can win and people who can't will be very, very hard to overcome.The coverage of the race for at least the next three or so weeks will be driven entirely by the upcoming debate -- who has the most on the line, who might surprise, etc.
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