Extreme, Trump-aligned candidates possibly cost the GOP control of the Senate for the last three years. Now they might have cost it full control of a swing state, New Hampshire.
on more than two dozen special elections shows the party running an average of 7.6 points better than their 2020 margins — margins from a 2020 election that, it bears noting, were already good for Democrats — and double digits better than the normal partisan fundamentals.New Hampshire wasn’t even the only state in which Democrats lodged a crucial win and an overperformance in a special election Tuesday. They also took back the majority in theby defeating a Trump-aligned candidate.
The New Hampshire victory is especially significant because it could ultimately deprive Republicans of their governing “trifecta” — that is, full control of both chambers of the state legislature and the governorship. Democrats now have one fewer seat than Republicans, but if upcoming special elections break as expected, the chamber would be tied. Whether Democrats will ultimately tie the chamber and, if so, for how long, is to be determined; the New Hampshire state House’s 400 members make it the
, which means frequent vacancies. Two members also recently left their parties to become independents.But the race in a highly competitive district was seemingly crucial for maintaining the trifecta. And the tale of how Republicans lost it is a familiar one: by nominating an extreme, Trumpy candidate who proved unpalatable.Northwood Selectman Jim Guzofski defeated a candidate backed by much of the local Republican Party apparatus in last month’s primary.
— but who espoused many of the kinds of extreme and conspiratorial positions that have dogged other Republicans.
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