What early 2020 ratings can—and can’t—tell us. Via FiveThirtyEight:
At this point in the election cycle, there is still just too much time in which major, race-changing events, such as the 2008 financial crash, can take place. And, of course, we still don’t know who at least one of the nominees will be. Whether Democrats pick a strong or weak candidateBut the second type of forecast — predicting the relative partisanship of the states — can be made with a reasonable amount of confidence, even this far out from the election.
The problem is that this second type of prediction may be easier, but it’s also less valuable. If one party wins the national popular vote by more than a few percentage points, the outcome of the election will be— there will be no need to finely parse electoral-vote totals. But the closer the election, the more precise you need to be to guess the outcome correctly.
Singapore Latest News, Singapore Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
What Early 2020 Ratings Can And Can’t Tell UsYou could be forgiven for thinking that the 2020 election has gotten started way too soon. Presidential aspirants are announcing their candidacies abnormally ea…
Read more »
2020 Dems criss-cross nation building early black supportThe annals of Democratic presidential primaries are littered with white liberals who couldn’t win over black voters and lost the nomination because of it. But this year’s contestants are all too aware of that history
Read more »
Taylor Swift says she will be more vocal on politics leading up to 2020CNN News, delivered. Select from our newsletters below and enter your email to subscribe.
Read more »
Trump administration’s citizenship question on 2020 census blocked by federal judgeA federal judge in San Francisco has ruled against the Trump administration's move to include a citizenship question on the 2020 U.S. census, saying it would harm the state of California and be 'contrary to the Constitution.'
Read more »
China's Hebei to cut steel capacity in 2019-2020 to improve air quality: party officialChina's top steelmaking region of Hebei will cut 14 million tonnes of annua...
Read more »
2020 candidates raise concerns about House response to OmarThree major Democratic presidential candidates on Wednesday raised concerns about House Democrats’ response to Rep. Ilhan Omar after comments she made about Israel
Read more »
2020 rankings: It's now or never for Democrats who want to be presidentIt's now or never for Democrats who want to be president. CillizzaCNN and ForecasterEnten's have their monthly power rankings of Democrats most likely to get the party's presidential nomination in 2020.
Read more »
Perdue stands firm with Trump in battleground GeorgiaRepublican Sen. David Perdue is sticking with President Donald Trump ahead of a 2020 reelection fight.
Read more »
DCCC kicks off 2020 effort to protect its House majorityFresh off a 40-seat pickup in 2018, the DCCC is launching its 2020 campaign to preserve and even bolster the party’s House majority.
Read more »
European Central Bank holds rates, and warns markets not to expect a hike before 2020'The Governing Council now expects the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present levels at least through the end of 2019,' the ECB said.
Read more »