‘Whistling past the graveyard’: Is the U.S. ready to counter China at sea?

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‘Whistling past the graveyard’: Is the U.S. ready to counter China at sea?
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The U.S. has pledged to deploy so much firepower to the Indo-Pacific in 2023 that China won’t even consider invading Taiwan. Lawmakers and allies say it’s already too late.

, Camp Blaz, on Guam, the first new Marine Corps installation in 70 years.with the Pacific Island nations of Palau, Micronesia and the Marshall Islands. Those deals provide the U.S. reliable port access from which it can deploy sea and air power.“To have a seamless reinforcing defense relationship … the infrastructure must be in place like naval bases, air bases, depots, radars. We don’t have these things in the Philippines,” said Delfin Lorenzana, former Philippine defense secretary.

Regional governments like Indonesia and Malaysia “are certain that China will retaliate against them should they be seen as siding with the United States,” said Drew Thompson, former director for China, Taiwan and Mongolia in the Office of the Secretary of Defense. Ratner stressed in his December speech that deterring China from invading Taiwan is a long-term priority for the Pentagon. “It’s a today problem. It’s a tomorrow problem. It’s a 2027 problem. It’s a 2035 problem. It’s a 2040 problem,” he said.

But in the short term, Beijing’s interpretation of these limitations to U.S. force posture in the Indo-Pacific could encourage it to act. There’s a growing danger that “the Chinese have a misperception of our own weakness — that they think we’re weaker than we are and launch an invasion based on misperceptions,” said Gray, the former NSC chief of staff.

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