Why has China’s stimulus been so stingy?

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Why has China’s stimulus been so stingy?
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Many economists in China have come to the conclusion that it is simply too soon for an all-out push to revive growth

Editor’s note: On April 17th China announced that GDP fell by 6.8% in the first quarter of 2019, compared with the same period last year, and that retail sales fell by 16% in March, again compared with the year beforeis a glistening monument to commerce, a nine-storey mall with endless stores and restaurants, virtual-reality arcades and spas, even a zoo. But it is now trying something more basic, setting up food stalls outside to drum up business.

Start with the obvious contrasts between China’s actions and those of other governments. Japan’s fiscal stimulus, for instance, is around 10% of itsand rises to twice that when loans and loan guarantees are included. China, meanwhile, has made no special announcement, instead rolling out a hodgepodge of policies that, added up, reach perhaps 3% of itsMany governments are using new tools to help struggling businesses. Corporate bail-outs have been a core element.

But make no mistake. This is still a major departure from China’s customary largesse. A typical stimulus policy—variations of which were seen in 2009, 2012 and 2016—would involve some combination of a surge in infrastructure spending, incentives to spur consumption, and loosened restrictions on the property market. All have been conspicuously absent so far.

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