Germany has been hit hard by COVID-19 cases, but its fatality rate is only 0.9%
of the tests distributed worldwide by the World Health Organization by the end of February were produced by one German company based in Berlin.to allow some large companies to manufacture their own tests, leading to a shortage.
“Because Germany rolled testing out so quickly as the epidemic was growing, it meant they were selectively more likely to identify milder cases,” Smeeth tells TIME. Countries without such capabilities were forced to prioritize testing severe cases while leaving mild cases undiagnosed and therefore not included in the official numbers. “The more cases you ascertain, the death rate is going to go down,” Smeeth says.
in the European Union—the median age of Germany’s population known to be infected by COVID-19 is lower: 46 as opposed to Italy’s 63. Smeeth says the lower average age is likely to just be a side effect of widespread testing. “If you are testing more people, then you will get a much younger age distribution of positive cases,” Smeeth says. “It doesn’t necessarily mean that the true age distribution of the virus is radically different between the two countries.
Germany also has a high number of intensive care beds, meaning its hospitals have so far not been overwhelmed with COVID-19 patients in the same way some hospitals in Northern Italy have. According to apublished in 2012, Germany had 29.2 critical care beds per 100,000 people—more than double Italy’s 12.5. And these beds are currently only 70-80% occupied, according to Germany’s Deutsche Krankenhausgesellschaft , an umbrella group of hospital operators.
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