While some defence and China-US relations experts believe the costs of using force to bring Taiwan under mainland control would make it a last resort, they warn that war
Beijing has never renounced the use of force to take Taiwan, which it regards as part of its territory and a red line issue. The PLA has vowed to take action to defend Chinese sovereignty and said it would be decisive if the US further pushed the bottom line.
At the same time, Beijing could continue building up its capacity to make it more costly for the US to intervene, making it more difficult for Taiwan to pursue its pro-independence agenda without US support. But some experts said the Beijing leadership would be careful to manage the ongoing crisis across the Taiwan Strait and try to de-escalate tensions and alleviate fears among neighbouring countries, because of the enormous costs of using force.
In Zhou’s view, the US military has been trying “to sound out Beijing’s time frames for its Taiwan unification plan by deliberately disclosing its assessments on a possible war with the PLA”. PLA forces would also face heavy losses but fail to occupy Taiwan, potentially destabilising political power in Beijing, the CSIS said.'New normal' of China's military push across Taiwan Strait could spin out of control: Analysts
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