Why The Track Forecast For Hurricane Dorian Has Been So Challenging

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Why The Track Forecast For Hurricane Dorian Has Been So Challenging
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A panel of experts on why the forecast for Hurricane Dorian has been so challenging

With Hurricane Dorian, uncertainty about the forecast track and timing of the storm forced officials to move the Florida State - Boise State football game from Jacksonville, slated for a 7 pm kickoff on Saturday, to noon in Tallahassee. I am certain that many businesses and people are questioning the move given that timing of when impacts are now expected. Unfortunately, officials and emergency managers often must make decision on the best information at the moment.

Professor John Knox, a recent recipient of the American Meteorological Society's Edward Lorenz Teaching Award, offers an important lesson. The University of Georgia atmospheric sciences professor pointed out: He has been concerned about the storm environment and how well the models are capturing the rapidly evolving situation. He told me:

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