Why women hold the key to how well Modi fares in this election

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Why women hold the key to how well Modi fares in this election
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Female participation in India’s elections have risen over the years, something parties can’t ignore

Women queueing to cast their votes at a polling station in the southern Indian state of Telangana on May 13.

Yet to the women’s surprise, and in contrast to the behaviour they had endured the previous night, the men squeezed themselves into a corner to make room for them, paid for their meals, and opted to sleep on the floor of the coach so that the women could use the padded berths above. The results due out on June 4 will tell us if he continues to do so, or has slipped in their esteem. If women substantially abide by him, Mr Modi is on solid ground despite the noise currently evident on television screens and social media that makes him look a tad vulnerable as the seven-stage elections drag on.

Part of it has to do with his image as a leader: as prime minister, he has exuded an energy, resolve and decisiveness that seemed to elude his immediate predecessors in office – Dr Manmohan Singh, Mr Atal Bihari Vajpayee and Mr Inder Gujral. Mr Modi took that cachet to the entire nation in 2014, riding the prevailing misgivings over the dysfunctionality and corruption in the Manmohan Singh-led Congress coalition to sweep to power on the back of his charisma, oratory and promises of “less government, more governance”. While that election was an anti-incumbency wave against Congress, the 2019 polls were a decisively pro-Modi surge. And the women’s vote was a decisive factor.

To be sure, some of the increase in numbers could be the result of a greater willingness to report crime. Besides, policing is a state subject. Although Mr Modi is regarded as a Hindu nationalist, one in five Muslims is reckoned to have voted for him in 2019. Of those, a majority were women.

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