Your Kentucky Derby picks are probably wrong. Here's why each horse can and can't win 'wide-open' race.

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Your Kentucky Derby picks are probably wrong. Here's why each horse can and can't win 'wide-open' race.
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The good news and the bad news when it comes to this year's Kentucky Derby field.

He’s never won a race longer than 7 furlongs. The front-runner had his chance in the UAE Derby at 1 3/16 miles but couldn’t hold off Crown Pride down the stretch.He was super impressive as a 2-year-old with romps at Keeneland and Churchill. Trainer Kenny McPeek has kept him fresh this year with just two races and is hoping to unleash a big one Saturday.He’s 0 for 2 this year with a pair of runner-up finishes.

His four-furlong breeze April 29 had trainer Chad Brown beaming, and he garnered status as the morning-line favorite for a reason.It’s hard to find a strike against him, but he did finish 3 ¼ lengths behind Epicenter in their lone matchup Feb. 19 in the Risen Star at Fair Grounds.He hasn’t been able to match Epicenter in his past two races, but he hasn’t been far back, either. If he can take a step forward, he has a chance to be in the mix at the end.

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