Analysis | More signs that Trump may not get a significant political boost from the economy

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Analysis | More signs that Trump may not get a significant political boost from the economy
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Analysis: More signs that Trump may not get a significant political boost from the economy

President Trump speaks during a rally in Green Bay, Wis., on April 27. By Philip Bump Philip Bump National correspondent focused largely on the numbers behind politics Email Bio Follow April 29 at 5:34 PM About a week before the 2018 election, Gallup released data looking at how past midterms had been affected by a strong economy or a weak president. As you might expect, the historical record offered two different conclusions.

Polling released on Monday, though, suggests that this isn’t necessarily the case — just as it wasn’t in 2018. But while Republicans generally say the economy has benefited them, people who live in counties that Trump won in 2016 by at least 10 points generally don’t say they’ve seen much benefit. There is another group that says it has seen a benefit, though: Those making more than $100,000 a year.

Even wealthier respondents were more likely to say that the wealthy benefited a lot than that the poor did. In counties that voted heavily for Trump, more than half said the wealthy benefited a lot while fewer than one in five said the poor did.

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