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A recent shock poll by Stack Data Strategy suggests that Joe Biden is narrowly ahead of Donald Trump in both the electoral college and popular vote for the upcoming American presidential election.
The survey predicts Biden winning 287 electoral college votes to Trump’s 251. Despite Trump being favored by bookmakers, the MRP model used in the poll has proven reliable in recent elections. Biden’s path to victory relies on key battleground states like Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, where he holds a slight lead.
Although Biden is maintaining support in Midwest states that previously voted for Trump, the race remains highly competitive in key battlegrounds. The survey indicates consistent gains for Biden across demographic groups, but he struggles with younger voters and some Democratic base groups.Top voter concerns include immigration, inflation, and crime. The survey also suggests Republicans are poised to regain control of both the Senate and the House.
‘The race for Congress is just as tight with the Republicans currently set to regain the Senate and retain control of the House. This is going to be a truly nail-biting contest.’International
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