The Doherty Institute modelling underpinning national cabinet's in-principle agreement for vaccine targets and Australia’s return to normality has been publicly released.
Under 40s have become the “peak spreaders” of COVID-19 and vaccinating younger people is the best way to stop the spread of the virus, according to the newly-released modelling informing Australia’s response to the crisis.
Doherty Institute professor Jodie McVernon told reporters on Tuesday the vaccine strategy needed to pivot towards making younger people the next priority.“It is really the 20-39 year categories that are the peak spreaders. They will bring COVID home to their children. They'll take it home to their own parents.”
Prof McVernon compared vaccination rates of 50 or 60 per cent to turning what"otherwise might be a bushfire" into a more “controlled backburn” to keep case numbers low. At a vaccination rate of 50 per cent of the population, the modelling estimates almost 8,894 people could die from an uncontrolled outbreak lasting 180 days.
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